NBA Draft Review 06
Make no mistake: this is a very weak draft. But in the end, it was this that ended up catching my interest. Most drafts are fairly straightforward--there are few surprises. This time, no one had any idea what was going on, and that was interesting to me. So I did a lot of research the day before and the day off, and actually watched the entire first round for the first time in a long time (Normally I just watch the lottery, and pay a tiny bit of attention to the rest of the first round). This draft I paid attention to, and was rewarded: it was truly insane out there.
One other note before we get to the grades: Fuck ESPN.COM, and fuck Chad Ford. There isn't a single piece of draft coverage on espn.com that isn't insider. It's insane. If it weren't for Page 2, I would never go to espn.com again. Fuck you guys...you're not half as good as you think you are.
Toronto Raptors
Picks: Andrea Bargani (1), P.J. Tucker (35)
Added: Cash
Dealt: Edin Bavcic (56)
Grade: B+
Bargani is going to suck. Really. Sure, he could be the next Dirk, but we all know he's going to suck. However, I give the Raptors credit: they tried like crazy to trade the pick, couldn't, and took the player with the biggest upside. P.J. Tucker was also a good pick in the second round. So they get credit for trying. Remember, this is a terrible draft: no one in this draft will end up being a star, so having the #1 pick is not that big of a deal.
Chicago Bulls
Picks: Tyrus Thomas (4), Thabo Sefolosha (13)
Added: Viktor Khryapa (Portland)
Dealt: LaMarcus Aldridge (2), Rodney Carney (16), Cash
Grade: B-
Chicago had two trades: Aldridge for Thomas and Khryapa with Portland, and Carney and cash for Sefolsha. Ummm...okay. I thought there were better players available at 16 than some Swiss guy, and if you want to do the whole draft and trade thing with Portland--especially when you know that the Bobcats is going with either Morrison or Roy--you would ask for more than Khryapa. But hey, they got the players they wanted, and Thomas could be one of the best players to come out of the draft. Not a bad night by any stretch...and now they are set up to trade for KG. Yes, you read that right. More on that later.
Charlotte Bobcats
Picks: Adam Morrison (3), Ryan Hollins (50)
Grade: B
I'm telling you: Morrison is the next Wally Szczerbiak. Is that a bad thing? No. Is that a good thing? No. Everyone needs to just calm down about him. This is an instance when they should have listened to Jordan and gone with Roy.
Portland Trailblazers
Picks: LaMarcus Aldridge (2), Brandon Roy (6), Sergio Rodriguez (27), Joel Freeland (30)
Added: Raef LaFrentz (Boston), Dan Dickau (Boston), 2 Future Second Round Picks (Indiana), 1 Future Second Round Pick (Memphis)
Dealt: Tyrus Thomas (2), Sebastian Telfair (to Boston), Theo Ratliff (to Boston), 2008 Second Round Pick (to Boston), Randy Foye (to Minnesota), James White (31), Alexander Johnson (45), Cash
Grade: A-
I was going to give Portland just a B+ because I think they were trading just to make trades, but ending up with the best player in the draft got them a weak A. I don't think LaMarcus Aldridge will amount to anything, but he won't shoot anyone, and that's a plus. Roy is the best player in the draft and I think will be a Michael Redd-ish player someday, which is a good thing. Having Joel Freeland--a 7'0" white guy from Enland that I outweigh by 20 pounds--is so damn amusing that I love that pick just so I can laugh at it. Ratliff's expiring contract would have been nice to keep, but as a player I would have rather had LaFrentz. Hopefully they can convince him to opt out in 07, though he would be retarded to do so.
They'll definitely deal Darius Miles, and try to deal Zach Randolph. If they do so, they have a nice young nucleus with which to build on. They are moving in the right direction, which is more than you could say for a while.
Atlanta Hawks
Picks: Sheldon Williams (5), Soloman Jones (33)
Grade: D-
Once again...the Hawks are morons. A) Sheldon Williams is not good enough to be the number 5 pick, even in this weak draft. B) You have 10,000 power/small forwards, did you really need another one? C) In the Year of the Draft Trade, you couldn't have tried to get a PG that you so desperately need through a trade? Billy King is an idiot.
Minnesota Timberwolves
Picks: Randy Foye (7), Craig Smith (36)
Dealt: Brandon Roy (6)
Grade: F
Speaking of idiot GM's...
So Kevin McHale. You get the best player in your lap, Brandon Roy, to fall in your lap at #6. He's a guy who can immediately help you. He's a scorer and defender your team desperately needs. And what do you do? You deal him away for JACK SHIT.
God I hate you Kevin McHale. You have single handedly ruined KG's career, and I hate you for that. There is one possible silver lining--not for the Timberwolves, but for KG--I think if you do trade Brandon Roy for Randy Foye (BTW, I'm not into shooting guards under 6'5" unless their name is "Iverson" or "Terry"), then maybe, just maybe, that's part of a Chicago trade. Look at it this way: KG and Randy Foye to Chicago for Tyrus Thomas, the Swiss guy who everyone likes, Ben Gordon (or Tyson Chandler or Luol Deng, but I think they try to move Gordon), and a first round pick.
YES. Chicago's core is still in tact, and they add a true Superstar to help push them over the top and make them a legit Eastern Conference competitor NOW. You've got Foye to replace Gordon, who could be even better. If you're Minnesota, you get potentially the best player in the draft, a solid player in the draft, a Sixth Man of the Year, and a decent pick. Is that worth KG? No. But when you trade a superstar, you never get exactly what they're worth. If you're lucky, you get close to it. This is probably as close as you're going to get.
If you're not doing that, then trading Roy for Foye and nothing else is just dumb. Which makes more sense for Kevin McHale to do something dumb than pull off a good trade like the one I just mentioned.
Houston Rockets
Picks: Rudy Gay (8), Steve Novak (32), Lior Eliyahu (44)
Added: Shane Battier (Vancouver)
Dealt: Rudy Gay (8), Stromile Swift, Cash
Grade: D+
Let's pretend to be Hubie Brown here (and yes, once again rip off Bill Simmons):
You're the Houston Rockets. You've just come off one of those seasons where everything that could go wrong, did go wrong. You land the most talented player in the draft, someone who the day of the draft was being considered for the number 1 pick, though his desire is in question. You have last year's big free agent acquisition, who did not do much for you this year, but again, everything that could go wrong, did go wrong. So what do you do? You trade that for a very average pro who is a nice role player, but nothing else. In other words, you piss on yourself rather than take a chance to add a player with TREMENDOUS upside to a team that has two great players.
Am I sold on Rudy Gay? No. I'm not. But Shane Battier is the kind of player a team adds to get them over the hump. He's the "glue" guy who makes a good squad a championship squad. He's a great sixth or seventh man on a great team. But...do you want him to be the third best player on your team? HELL NO. And that's what he now is.
Again, I'm not sold on Gay. I don't think he'll end up being a great player unless he can find something to motivate him, which is doubtful. But...if you're Houston, and you have one of those "well...shit" seasons like last year, and you've still got two young stars, you take a chance with Gay. You've been given a freebe. Neither Rudy Gay or Shane Battier is going to make or break this team: Yao and TMac's bodies will make or break this team. So you take a flyer on the guy with talent, hope it works, and you've lost nothing if it doesn't. You don't trade him--and another decent player--away for a very average player.
Golden State Warriors
Picks: Patrick O'Bryant (9), Kosta Perovic (38)
Grade: B-
Another center for Golden State? Sure...why not? Doesn't really matter.
Seattle SuperSonics
Picks: Saer Sene (10), Denham Brown (40), Yotam Halperin (53)
Grade: F
I tried not to give Seattle an F. Really, I did. But when you drafted two project centers last year...and draft another project center this year...and all of them look like they're going to suck...I mean, I'm only a man. What more could you ask from me?
Oh, and the two Israelis being drafted: Carly, I know you're reading this. Don't pretend like you're not. We need comments from you. Did you think this day would ever come? Give us your thought about two Israelis in the NBA. Did you have a party? You should have! Congratulations!
Orlando Magic
Picks: J.J. Redick (11), James Augustine (41)
Added: Cash
Dealt: Lior Eliyahu (44)
Grade: C
J.J. Redick will be the best of the Steve Kerrs. You know--John Paxson, Craig Hodges, Fred Hoiberg, Steve Kerr. Those kind of players. So yes, that's a good thing, but not on a crappy team like Orlando who already has one undersized guard who is a defensive liability. It's going to be hard for Dwight Howard to get rebounds when he's on the bench in foul trouble.
Oklahoma City Hornets
Picks: Hilton Armstrong (12), Cedric Simmons (15), Marcus Vinicius de Souza (43)
Grade: B-
Anytime you have a 6'10" center from a major program who scouts aren't salivating over, that's a bad thing. And that's the case with Armstrong. However, Simmons could prove to be a good player, and so they made up for drafting Armstrong too soon by grabbing Simmons. They moved from a C+ to a B- because Marcus Vinicius de Souza is such a cool name. I wish I was joking.
Philadelphia 76ers
Picks: Rodney Carney (16), Bobby Jones (37), Edin Bavcic (56)
Added: Cash
Dealt: Thabo Sefolsha (13)
Grade: C
Eh. This team's fucked anyway.
Utah Jazz
Picks: Ronnie Brewer (13), Dee Brown (46), Paul Millsap(47)
Grade: B+
I like Ronnie Brewer, him and his misshapen arm. I think he was a great addition to the Jazz, who need a slashing, long 2 guard. I also liked Dee Brown in the second round; maybe he can bring out something more in Deron Williams? Good draft for what has been one of the most underacheiving teams in the league the last two years.
Indiana Pacers
Picks: Shawne Williams (17), James White (31)
Dealt: Alexander Johnson (45), 2 Second Round Picks
Grade: B-
I've still got faith in Larry Bird and Donnie Walsh. They can afford to take a chance on Shawne Williams after grabbing what I will think will be the second best player out of last year's draft, Danny Granger. The bottom line is Williams is so young no one knows what he'll be. White isn't a bad pick for the second round.
Washington Wizards
Picks: Oleksiy Pecherov (18), Vladimir Veremeenko (48)
Grade: C
Ummmmm...sure, why not?
Sacramento Kings
Picks: Quincy Douby (19)
Grade: B+
They got the sleeper of the draft in Douby, who is instant offense off the bench. He'll be a great tweener guard backup for the Kings. Also earns points for his last name being "Douby".
New York Knicks
Picks: Renaldo Balkman (20), Mardy Collins (29)
Grade: D-
So much for Isiah Thomas being able to draft well. Don't worry about the fans in New York; I seriously thought that Jay Bilas was going to come off the set and attack Isiah. And no one would have blamed him.
Boston Celtics
Picks: Rajon Rondo (21), Leon Powe (49)
Added: Sebastian Telfair (Portland), Theo Ratliff (Portland), 2008 Second Round Pick (Portland), Brian Grant (Phoenix)
Dealt: Randy Foye (7), Raef Lafrentz (to Portland), Dan Dickau (to Portland), 2007 First Round Pick (Cavs)
Grade: D-
Wow. Simply amazing. How can all these ex-Celtics be such bad GM's? You want Telfair over Foye? Really? Or even Telfair over Gay? Really? And you'd rather have Rondo over a pick in next year's very deep draft? Really? The only thing that keeps this from being an F is I think they have the expiring contracts now to help making an Allen Iverson trade more realistic.
New Jersey Nets
Picks: Marcus Williams (22), Josh Boone (23), Hassan Adams (54)
Grade: B+
Nice draft for New Jersey. They took a top ten talent in Williams. He'll get to learn slowly from one of the best point guards ever--in other words, if he doesn't succeed here, he was not meant to succeed. It's late enough in the draft when you can take a chance on a thug from South Central (he'll be out of the league in 2 years, I'm calling it here, but I'd still take the chance here). I also think people are selling Josh Boone short--here's a guy who came to UCONN and looked like he was going to be a star, but took a supporting player role when the coach brought other "stars" in, and did it well and without complaint. I think he's going to be an Udonis Haslem type player in the NBA, which is EXACTLY what New Jersey needs. They kept it simple and did well.
Memphis Grizzlies
Picks: Kyle Lowry (24), Alexander Johnson (45)
Added: Stromile Swift (Houston)
Dealt: Shane Battier (to Houston), Future Second Round Pick (Portland)
Grade: A-
The Griz were not going to win a championship with Shane Battier. They were not going to win a playoff series with Shane Battier. Hell, they probably weren't going to win a playoff game with Shane Battier. So what not trade him for the player who has the potential to be the best in the draft? An all-purpose scoring slasher would be a perfect compliment to Pau Gasol. If this works and Gay reaches his potential, then the Griz will be championship contenders. If it doesn't, then they lost a decent player who would never help them get out of the first round. Good gamble.
Cleveland Cavaliers
Picks: Shannon Brown (25), Daniel Gibson (42), Ejike Ugboaja (55)
Grade: B
They did the "best player available" thing with Brown, since there wasn't much left at that point that they needed (maybe Farmar, but he's far from a sure thing). And they got in Daniel Gibson at 42 a player they were considering taking at 25. He might be the steal of the draft; unlike Brown, Gibson will get his chance to play as the Cavs sorely need a point. And I shouldn't say Brown won't play; I'm sure Larry Hughes will get hurt like he always does. Hell, maybe this is a B+!
LA Lakers
Picks: Jordan Farmer (26), J.R. Pinnock (58)
Added: Maurice Evans (Pistons)
Dealt: Cheick Samb (51), 2007 Second Round Pick
Grade: B+
The Lakers also drafted the best player available; fortunately for them, it also filled their biggest hole, point guard. I LOVED the Maurice Evans trade--they actually have someone to bring off the bench now, and they got him for nothing. More on that later.
Phoenix Suns
Picks: None
Added: 2007 First Round Pick (Cleveland's from Boston), Cash (Portland)
Dealt: Rajon Rondo (21), Sergio Rodriguez (27), Brian Grant (Boston)
Grade: A-
Surprised at the high grade? I am too. But let's look at their situation:
1: We like the team we have, and no rookie in the 20s is going to help us for the next 2-3 years, especially in a draft that sucks.
2: Money is tight for the outstanding players that we have; we need ever dollar we have to resign the team we like.
3: There are stupid people out there not only willing to take the bad contracts/picks we have off our hands, but are willing to give us a first round pick in next years much deeper draft.
I mean seriously, how many times have you looked at a championship-contending team, looked at the shitty draft/draft pick that they are stuck with, and were like, "Man, they were better off just not having to pay that guy for 3 years?" Well, the Suns thought the same thing, and did something about it. Kudos to them. God this is probably the best franchise from top to bottom in the NBA right now.
Dallas Mavericks
Picks: Maurice Ager (28)
Added: 2007 Second Round Pick (LA Lakers)
Dealt: J.R. Pinnock (58)
Grade: B
Same as the Lakers: drafted the best player available, who also filled a small need. This will free them up to trade for Sam Cassell. I'll explain more about that next week when I write a "What the Mavs Should Do This Offseason" Post. Also took a page from Phoenix's book and said, "Don't have a player we like at 58? Give him away and try again next year!" Good job!
Los Angeles Clippers
Picks: Paul Davis (34), Guiellermo Diaz (52)
Grade: B+
Man the later teams in the draft did great! The Clippers didn't have a first round pick, but got a dirty white boy to go crash the boards and hit people (always necessary for a team contending for a championship), and got a guy who was a potential first round pick at the end of the second round. This team needs two things: to resign Sam Cassell, and to grow together. They should be fine.
Denver Nuggets
Added: Future Second Round Pick (Boston)
Dealt: Leon Powe (49)
Grade: C+
Didn't have a pick until late in the second round. As bad as they have drafted lately, and as bad as this draft was, not a bad thing.