2008 NBA Preview: Western Conference
The West is set once again for years to come. Not only are unquestionably the top three teams in the league in the West (and arguably the top five), but the future of the NBA is set in Portland, Seattle, and maybe even Minnesota. None of the teams in the East has the promise of those squads.
Without further ado, here's how the West shakes out:
It's truly amazing the difference a coupla years makes.
15) LA Clippers
Wow. That's all I can say for them. Wow. No Elton Brand. No Shaun Livingston. They are now relying on a 100 year old who delights on jumping ship when the going gets tough(Sam Cassell), the second most overrated player of all time (Cutino Mobley), and a white stiff at center who has already been given his fat contract (Chris Kaman). Also...if they tank, they can get the most publicized basketball player to go through LA since Kobe first hit the scene (OJ Mayo).
The most interesting thing I can think of with the Clips this year is where Sam Cassell is going to go when they buy him out.
Up & Comers, Part 1
14) Minnesota Timberwolves
Especially since Randy Foye is now out "indefinitely" with a knee injury (which is scarily becoming NBA speak for, "We're going to wait a week or two before we come out and say he needs microfracture surgery, but basically we're hoping for God Himself to come down and fix his knee"), this team will be fighting the Clips for the #1 pick. And sadly, I don't think they'll need to tank to do it. They will be entertaining to watch with a good young nucleus, and if Kevin Mchale doesn't screw this up--which, sadly, there's a 90% chance he's going to do--then this will be a formidable team in 3 to 4 years.
13) Portland Trailblazers
Poor Blazers. They had all the right things going for them. The team was gelling, and showing up extra early for training camp to practice together. They had a talented and energetic core ready to start off the season with a bang. And then, just like that, Greg Oden is gone for the season, and is no guarantee for next year, either.
Same as the Wolves...check back in 3 or 4 years, and they'll be entertaining to watch grow next year.
12) Seattle Supersonics
They've got the Rookie of the Year--and he would have been ROY even if Oden hadn't gotten injured. They've got the potential runner up for Rookie of the Year. They've got a solid starter at the point, and one of the best backup points in the league behind him (and it doesn't matter which one you start, Watson or Ridnoir). They've got a young center who might have a little something. And they've got two veteran, grizzled power forward/centers who play hard and smart, rebound well, and aren't afraid to hit people.
If Durant plays up to expectations, this team could easily be higher. As it is, they'll take it slow and steady, learn, and get better together.
Heading in the wrong direction...
11) Sacremento Kings
Is there any reason to feel good about the Kings? They're a year older, which isn't good. They have a brand new coach who's never really coached before. Ummmm...you know, I'm not even interested in this team enough to write anything else. This is just a bad, unentertaining team.
10) LA Lakers
This is going to get real bad, real fast. Kobe looks like he's willing to kill someone every single play. He's officially reached the point where nothing would surprise me about him--he stops showing up, he gets mad and kills a teammate in practice out of frustration, he kidnaps Jeanie Buss and refuses to release her until Jerry & Phil trade him--anything can go at this point.
Oh, and Derek Fisher is their third best player. When your second best player (Lamar Odom) is going to play an absolute max of 60 games...yeah, you're in trouble.
REMEMBER KOBE! This is how you wanted it! AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!
9)Golden State Warriors
Oh Don Nelson. I can always count on you to be your own worst enemy. So this offseason, you:
* Traded your third best player and team veteran for a crap rookie who was an underachiever in college and won't amount for shit in the NBA.
* Named the craziest player in the NBA--and that is not a title that is easily earned--your team captain.
* Named some Italian you drafted the ROY in a stacked rookie class, and then two weeks later publicly announced that you were wrong, and basically that the guy sucked.
* Bought out the only player who had the size and weight to actually hit anyone so that they would feel it.
Hey, I'll give you this. You might still be able to beat the Mavs. But as for anyone else...no. Sorry. Ain't going to happen.
Way to shoot yourself in the foot, as usual.
Up & Comers, Part II
8) New Orleans Hornets
I'm gambling on the Hornets this season. I think CP3 stays healthy. I'm thinking that even though I've never seen anything that makes me think Mo Pete is a good NBA starter, surely everyone else can't be wrong as everyone else loves him. David West will continue to prove that he is a top 10 power forward in the NBA. The Peja can at least play half a season well, right? Julian Wright has so little pressure on him that he should be able to touch some of his formidable talent. Bobby Jackson is still one of the best bench players in the league. Rasual Butler is still one of the more underrated bench players in the league.
But most of all, I'm gambling that last year wasn't a fluke for Tyson Chandler. I think he's finally figured out how to play. I think he was embarrassed to be cast aside for Ben Wallace. I think he knows he outplayed Dwight Howard this summer, and should be on the Olympic team over him (I still can't believe it as I type it, but I saw it with my own eyes), and I think he spends all season this season proving that.
There's a lot of "ifs" on this Hornets team, and normally I try to avoid "Team If". But I'm jumping on the Hornets bandwagon this year. I think they can pull it off.
7) Memphis Grizzlies
Remember, this team was missing its All Star for half the season, tanked for half the season, and had one of its players realize, "Dude, I'm good enough to play on the Olympic team!" They also got the player who I think will end up being the second best player to come out of one of the best drafts ever. If Darko and/or Rudy Gay play to even half of their potential, this team will have no problem pulling 7th.
Meh.
6) Denver Nuggets
Denver is everybody's dark horse pick for making it out of the West this year. And I see where they are coming from; they have a TON of talent on this team. But...
* With all of the additions on this team, who hits a 3 consistently? And no, "JR Smith" is not the right answer. There is still not a single great shooter on this roster.
* I love Ken...but its his first season back from microfracture. He's a great player to have off the bench, but he's not going to be a force this season. He's just not.
* I know every year is going to be Melo's year. I'll believe it when I see it.
* Do we not realize George Karl is the coach of this team? Do people not realize he is a crazy asshole yet? Well trust me people. He is a crazy asshole.
* Related to number 1...do we see a team with Karl, AI, Melo, and Ken coexisting long enough to make it past all the beasts in the West? One of them has to go nuts on one of the others at some point, right? There's just too many crazy people involved here for me to believe this ends well.
* And finally, the injury bug. We know Camby is going to miss time. We know Nene is going to miss time. They're already saying Ken is going to only play 15-20 a night. And I know AI has put up with a pounding for years...but that was in the weak East. Can he put up with the same pounding in the West? Are all his years going to finally catch up to him?
I understand where people are coming from with the Nugz. I just don't think it's going to happen.
The Fake Contenders
5) Utah Jazz
I've been a strong proponent of this Jazz team for years. No one outside of the true die-hard Jazz fans were as happy to see them succeed as I was last year.
But...
This team didn't get any better over the summer. Instead, their coach bickered and feuded with one of his best players. Now they aren't going to sneak up on anyone, their coach still isn't going to play their best shooting guard as much as he should, and he's going to continue to be a tough guy on one of his best players.
This is still a very good team. But they're not going to sneak up on anybody this year, and in the uber-talented top half of the West, I think they can't get any higher than this.
If Deron Williams makes another Leap this year though...nevermind.
4) Houston Rockets
I really like the Rockets...in fact, I want to like them more. I want to elevate them to true contender status, and not just fake contenders. There's just one thing:
Skip To My Lou is their starting point guard.
I love adding Mike James. I love adding Luis Scola. I love adding Bonzi Wells (adding Rick Adelman added him). I like adding Steve Francis. I of course love TMac. I really like Yao Ming.
I just don't think you can make it to the Finals in the West wit Rafer Alston as your starting point guard.
I'm sorry. It's as simple as that.
The Real Contenders
3) San Antonio Spurs
Why do I have the Spurs third? 1) Because their bench really sucks. I know they don't use it much, but when Brent Barry and Francisco Elson are your only two good players off the bench, that's not good. 2) Because I think the Spurs have reached that point where they can give a shit about the regular season, and are just interested in staying within striking distance of the Mavs and Suns and really just want to stay healthy. They're still the cream of the crop, though their crappy bench makes any injury a huge deal.
2) Your Dallas Mavericks!
I hate the Mavs' offseason. Hate it. After the playoffs last season, the best you can give me is Eddie Jones and Trenton Hassell? You can't even get me PJ Brown? I really worry that this team is going to have great regular season success, and blow up in the playoffs again.
One thing did make me happy though. Josh Howard taking out Brad Miller in the preseason...that I loved. I want to see some anger in these guys. I want to see some fire. I want them to realize they got punked like some little bitches last year, and I want them to be angry about it. That's their only hope for the playoffs.
1) Phoenix Suns
They will not win the NBA championship. The will win the West, but not the NBA championship. Why? Because they let Kurt Thomas go. It's as simple as that. I'm frustrated for Suns' fans. They make the perfect signing by going and getting Grant Hill...and then they let their only player who can play with any power go. I mean, I actually like Brian Skinner, but he's not going to get you a title. Kurt Thomas might. Brian Skinner will not.
This is it for the Suns. They will win the regular season...but once more, they will come up short.
Without further ado, here's how the West shakes out:
It's truly amazing the difference a coupla years makes.
15) LA Clippers
Wow. That's all I can say for them. Wow. No Elton Brand. No Shaun Livingston. They are now relying on a 100 year old who delights on jumping ship when the going gets tough(Sam Cassell), the second most overrated player of all time (Cutino Mobley), and a white stiff at center who has already been given his fat contract (Chris Kaman). Also...if they tank, they can get the most publicized basketball player to go through LA since Kobe first hit the scene (OJ Mayo).
The most interesting thing I can think of with the Clips this year is where Sam Cassell is going to go when they buy him out.
Up & Comers, Part 1
14) Minnesota Timberwolves
Especially since Randy Foye is now out "indefinitely" with a knee injury (which is scarily becoming NBA speak for, "We're going to wait a week or two before we come out and say he needs microfracture surgery, but basically we're hoping for God Himself to come down and fix his knee"), this team will be fighting the Clips for the #1 pick. And sadly, I don't think they'll need to tank to do it. They will be entertaining to watch with a good young nucleus, and if Kevin Mchale doesn't screw this up--which, sadly, there's a 90% chance he's going to do--then this will be a formidable team in 3 to 4 years.
13) Portland Trailblazers
Poor Blazers. They had all the right things going for them. The team was gelling, and showing up extra early for training camp to practice together. They had a talented and energetic core ready to start off the season with a bang. And then, just like that, Greg Oden is gone for the season, and is no guarantee for next year, either.
Same as the Wolves...check back in 3 or 4 years, and they'll be entertaining to watch grow next year.
12) Seattle Supersonics
They've got the Rookie of the Year--and he would have been ROY even if Oden hadn't gotten injured. They've got the potential runner up for Rookie of the Year. They've got a solid starter at the point, and one of the best backup points in the league behind him (and it doesn't matter which one you start, Watson or Ridnoir). They've got a young center who might have a little something. And they've got two veteran, grizzled power forward/centers who play hard and smart, rebound well, and aren't afraid to hit people.
If Durant plays up to expectations, this team could easily be higher. As it is, they'll take it slow and steady, learn, and get better together.
Heading in the wrong direction...
11) Sacremento Kings
Is there any reason to feel good about the Kings? They're a year older, which isn't good. They have a brand new coach who's never really coached before. Ummmm...you know, I'm not even interested in this team enough to write anything else. This is just a bad, unentertaining team.
10) LA Lakers
This is going to get real bad, real fast. Kobe looks like he's willing to kill someone every single play. He's officially reached the point where nothing would surprise me about him--he stops showing up, he gets mad and kills a teammate in practice out of frustration, he kidnaps Jeanie Buss and refuses to release her until Jerry & Phil trade him--anything can go at this point.
Oh, and Derek Fisher is their third best player. When your second best player (Lamar Odom) is going to play an absolute max of 60 games...yeah, you're in trouble.
REMEMBER KOBE! This is how you wanted it! AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!
9)Golden State Warriors
Oh Don Nelson. I can always count on you to be your own worst enemy. So this offseason, you:
* Traded your third best player and team veteran for a crap rookie who was an underachiever in college and won't amount for shit in the NBA.
* Named the craziest player in the NBA--and that is not a title that is easily earned--your team captain.
* Named some Italian you drafted the ROY in a stacked rookie class, and then two weeks later publicly announced that you were wrong, and basically that the guy sucked.
* Bought out the only player who had the size and weight to actually hit anyone so that they would feel it.
Hey, I'll give you this. You might still be able to beat the Mavs. But as for anyone else...no. Sorry. Ain't going to happen.
Way to shoot yourself in the foot, as usual.
Up & Comers, Part II
8) New Orleans Hornets
I'm gambling on the Hornets this season. I think CP3 stays healthy. I'm thinking that even though I've never seen anything that makes me think Mo Pete is a good NBA starter, surely everyone else can't be wrong as everyone else loves him. David West will continue to prove that he is a top 10 power forward in the NBA. The Peja can at least play half a season well, right? Julian Wright has so little pressure on him that he should be able to touch some of his formidable talent. Bobby Jackson is still one of the best bench players in the league. Rasual Butler is still one of the more underrated bench players in the league.
But most of all, I'm gambling that last year wasn't a fluke for Tyson Chandler. I think he's finally figured out how to play. I think he was embarrassed to be cast aside for Ben Wallace. I think he knows he outplayed Dwight Howard this summer, and should be on the Olympic team over him (I still can't believe it as I type it, but I saw it with my own eyes), and I think he spends all season this season proving that.
There's a lot of "ifs" on this Hornets team, and normally I try to avoid "Team If". But I'm jumping on the Hornets bandwagon this year. I think they can pull it off.
7) Memphis Grizzlies
Remember, this team was missing its All Star for half the season, tanked for half the season, and had one of its players realize, "Dude, I'm good enough to play on the Olympic team!" They also got the player who I think will end up being the second best player to come out of one of the best drafts ever. If Darko and/or Rudy Gay play to even half of their potential, this team will have no problem pulling 7th.
Meh.
6) Denver Nuggets
Denver is everybody's dark horse pick for making it out of the West this year. And I see where they are coming from; they have a TON of talent on this team. But...
* With all of the additions on this team, who hits a 3 consistently? And no, "JR Smith" is not the right answer. There is still not a single great shooter on this roster.
* I love Ken...but its his first season back from microfracture. He's a great player to have off the bench, but he's not going to be a force this season. He's just not.
* I know every year is going to be Melo's year. I'll believe it when I see it.
* Do we not realize George Karl is the coach of this team? Do people not realize he is a crazy asshole yet? Well trust me people. He is a crazy asshole.
* Related to number 1...do we see a team with Karl, AI, Melo, and Ken coexisting long enough to make it past all the beasts in the West? One of them has to go nuts on one of the others at some point, right? There's just too many crazy people involved here for me to believe this ends well.
* And finally, the injury bug. We know Camby is going to miss time. We know Nene is going to miss time. They're already saying Ken is going to only play 15-20 a night. And I know AI has put up with a pounding for years...but that was in the weak East. Can he put up with the same pounding in the West? Are all his years going to finally catch up to him?
I understand where people are coming from with the Nugz. I just don't think it's going to happen.
The Fake Contenders
5) Utah Jazz
I've been a strong proponent of this Jazz team for years. No one outside of the true die-hard Jazz fans were as happy to see them succeed as I was last year.
But...
This team didn't get any better over the summer. Instead, their coach bickered and feuded with one of his best players. Now they aren't going to sneak up on anyone, their coach still isn't going to play their best shooting guard as much as he should, and he's going to continue to be a tough guy on one of his best players.
This is still a very good team. But they're not going to sneak up on anybody this year, and in the uber-talented top half of the West, I think they can't get any higher than this.
If Deron Williams makes another Leap this year though...nevermind.
4) Houston Rockets
I really like the Rockets...in fact, I want to like them more. I want to elevate them to true contender status, and not just fake contenders. There's just one thing:
Skip To My Lou is their starting point guard.
I love adding Mike James. I love adding Luis Scola. I love adding Bonzi Wells (adding Rick Adelman added him). I like adding Steve Francis. I of course love TMac. I really like Yao Ming.
I just don't think you can make it to the Finals in the West wit Rafer Alston as your starting point guard.
I'm sorry. It's as simple as that.
The Real Contenders
3) San Antonio Spurs
Why do I have the Spurs third? 1) Because their bench really sucks. I know they don't use it much, but when Brent Barry and Francisco Elson are your only two good players off the bench, that's not good. 2) Because I think the Spurs have reached that point where they can give a shit about the regular season, and are just interested in staying within striking distance of the Mavs and Suns and really just want to stay healthy. They're still the cream of the crop, though their crappy bench makes any injury a huge deal.
2) Your Dallas Mavericks!
I hate the Mavs' offseason. Hate it. After the playoffs last season, the best you can give me is Eddie Jones and Trenton Hassell? You can't even get me PJ Brown? I really worry that this team is going to have great regular season success, and blow up in the playoffs again.
One thing did make me happy though. Josh Howard taking out Brad Miller in the preseason...that I loved. I want to see some anger in these guys. I want to see some fire. I want them to realize they got punked like some little bitches last year, and I want them to be angry about it. That's their only hope for the playoffs.
1) Phoenix Suns
They will not win the NBA championship. The will win the West, but not the NBA championship. Why? Because they let Kurt Thomas go. It's as simple as that. I'm frustrated for Suns' fans. They make the perfect signing by going and getting Grant Hill...and then they let their only player who can play with any power go. I mean, I actually like Brian Skinner, but he's not going to get you a title. Kurt Thomas might. Brian Skinner will not.
This is it for the Suns. They will win the regular season...but once more, they will come up short.
Labels: NBA Preseason